Statistical Modeling & Forecasting
I build forecasting models, rating systems, and decision frameworks that turn messy, uncertain data into a clear next step — the kind of analysis that usually lives in an academic journal, made useful for people who actually have to decide something.
I build the statistical models that turn messy, uncertain data into a clear next step — forecasts, projections, and rating systems. That work has shown up in marketing budgets, sales pipelines, a national chess organization's live broadcasts, and sports rating systems most official bodies haven't caught up to yet — because the underlying problem is always the same: here's what's likely to happen, here's what to do about it.
